METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Welterweight
VS
54%
Magny
46%
Gastelum
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Neil MagnywinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Kelvin Gastelum · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
→
Actual result
Magny wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Magny at 54% vs Gastelum at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gastelum has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MagnyGastelum
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Magny
Gastelum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
80"+
Reach
71"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Magny
Gastelum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
41.4
48.3
Performance Avg
47.4
37
Quality of Victory
42
81
Momentum Score
28
Magny
Gastelum
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.2
5.8
Style: Volume
6.3
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
0
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance9
2Clinch1
0Ground3
Magny
Gastelum
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Gastelum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/46 fights
Chin rating based on
26/32 fights
Magny
Gastelum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
28
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Magny
Gastelum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
36%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
14
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Gastelum
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
MagnyGastelum
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGastelum
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gastelum targets the head (62% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Gastelum
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Magny · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Ramiz BrahimajKO/TKO
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Jake MatthewsSubmission
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Carlos PratesKO/TKO
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Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueSubmission
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