METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Las Vegas, USA
10 Sept 2022
Catch Weight
VS
50%
Jingliang
50%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Li Jingliang · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jingliang
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jingliang at 50% vs Rodriguez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jingliang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Jingliang's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JingliangRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+74"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.8
50.4
53.1
Performance Avg
48.8
48
Quality of Victory
37
69
Momentum Score
70
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
4.8
3.4
Style: Volume
6.1
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
25
10
Body
6
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
27Distance34
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
40%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
JingliangRodriguez
Strike Zones
Jingliang
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jingliang targets the head (37% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 37% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (74% of attacks) — Jingliang absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jingliang
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Jingliang · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevSubmission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06