METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Las Vegas, USA
10 Sept 2022
Catch Weight
VS
49%
Jingliang
51%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Daniel RodriguezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Li Jingliang · UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jingliang at 49% vs Rodriguez at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jingliang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jingliang's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JingliangRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+74"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.8
53.3
53.1
Performance Avg
50.7
48
Quality of Victory
37
69
Momentum Score
70
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
2.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
50%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
8 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
25
10
Body
6
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
27Distance34
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
40%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jingliang
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
JingliangRodriguez
Strike Zones
Jingliang
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jingliang targets the head (37% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 37% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (74% of attacks) — Jingliang absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jingliang
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Jingliang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jingliang · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05