UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
Houston, USA
8 Feb 2020
Bantamweight
VS
38%
Johns
62%
Bautista
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bautista
Bautista holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Johns has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bautista has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johns's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bautista has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johns
Bautista
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+69"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Johns
Bautista
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.7
56.7
41.8
Performance Avg
54.6
33
Quality of Victory
39
10
Momentum Score
73
Johns
Bautista
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Johns
Bautista
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johns
Bautista
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Johns
Bautista
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
73
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johns
Bautista
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
46%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johns
Bautista
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
JohnsBautista
Strike Zones
Johns
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedBautista
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johns targets the head (83% of attacks) — Bautista absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Bautista targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johns
RND
Bautista
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Bautista · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Johns · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Felipe LimaRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Bautista · Last 5
Upcoming
Cory SandhagenUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R2
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Patchy MixRating 4.5Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 5Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10