METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Lightweight
VS
76%
Makdessi
24%
Forte
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:01
★ Official Result
John MakdessiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:01
def. Renee Forte · UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Makdessi wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Makdessi is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Forte has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiForte
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Forte
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+71"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Makdessi
Forte
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
9.8
42.2
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
33
Makdessi
Forte
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
0.8
6.9
Style: Volume
8.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
5
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance7
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Makdessi
Forte
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Forte
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Makdessi
Forte
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Makdessi
Forte
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Forte
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MakdessiForte
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedForte
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (55% of attacks) — Forte absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Forte targets the head (43% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Forte
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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L · Dec · R3
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Forte · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
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John MakdessiKO/TKO
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
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