UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee
Rochester, USA
18 May 2019
Welterweight
VS
52%
Anjos
48%
Lee
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 3:47
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox77" reach5'9"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anjos

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 52% vs Lee at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Anjos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anjos
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+77"
41
Age
+33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anjos
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
35.2
47.7
Performance Avg
48.3
41
Quality of Victory
42
49
Momentum Score
53
Anjos
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
3
0
Body
4
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance9
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Anjos
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anjos
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Anjos
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Anjos
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
4
12
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Lee
Striking3.1 / 3.0Volume5.7 / 4.1Grappling3.3 / 3.8Wrestling2.3 / 2.6Submission2.4 / 3.6Pressure4.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Anjos
Strike Zones
Lee
Anjos
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (82% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the body (44% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Kevin Lee
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