UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral
Las Vegas, USA
26 Aug 2006
Lightweight
VS
55%
Franca
45%
Varner
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Franca
This is a genuine toss-up — Franca at 55% vs Varner at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Varner has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Varner has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Franca
Varner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
51
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Franca
Varner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
13.9
46.8
Performance Avg
41.1
42
Quality of Victory
46
43
Momentum Score
33
Franca
Varner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
4Clinch0
1Ground1
Franca
Varner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Franca
Varner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
18
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
9/32 fights
Franca
Varner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Franca
Varner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Franca
Varner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
FrancaVarner
Strike Zones
Franca
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedVarner
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Franca targets the head (90% of attacks) — Varner absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Varner targets the head (100% of attacks) — Franca absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Franca
RND
Varner
0/0R00/0
Franca · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Varner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Franca · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tyson GriffinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Marcus AurelioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 5.5Decision
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean SherkRating 5.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
Varner · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05
L · KO · R2
Abel TrujilloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Melvin GuillardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12