UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Las Vegas, USA
14 Dec 2019
Featherweight
VS
86%
Hooper
14%
Teymur
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hooper
Hooper is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hooper has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Hooper has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Teymur has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hooper
Teymur
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'5"
74"+
Reach
69"
26+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hooper
Teymur
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
8.2
51.8
Performance Avg
23.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
20
Hooper
Teymur
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch0
16Ground0
Hooper
Teymur
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooper
Teymur
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Hooper
Teymur
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
20
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hooper
Teymur
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hooper
Teymur
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
HooperTeymur
Strike Zones
Hooper
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTeymur
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the head (85% of attacks) — Teymur absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Teymur targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hooper
RND
Teymur
0/0R00/0
Hooper · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Teymur · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Hooper · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 2.9KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Teymur · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · Dec · R3
Sung Bin JoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · Sub · R2
Chris FishgoldRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Sub · R3
Julio ArceRating 4.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny HenryRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07