METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
39%
Burgos
61%
Jourdain
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Shane BurgoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Charles Jourdain · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jourdain
→
Actual result
Burgos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jourdain holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Burgos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Burgos's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jourdain has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurgosJourdain
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burgos
Jourdain
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Burgos
Jourdain
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
50.4
50.0
Performance Avg
48.6
35
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
51
Burgos
Jourdain
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
6.3
6.5
Style: Volume
3.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
60
1
Body
23
14
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance49
7Clinch32
0Ground3
Burgos
Jourdain
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burgos
Jourdain
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Burgos
Jourdain
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Burgos
Jourdain
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burgos
Jourdain
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
BurgosJourdain
Strike Zones
Burgos
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
84 absorbedJourdain
Attacking
84 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burgos targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Jourdain targets the head (71% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burgos
RND
Jourdain
0/0R00/0
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaKO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Jourdain · Last 5
Upcoming
Marlon VeraUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Davey GrantSubmission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Sub · R2
Victor HenrySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Jean SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
