UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Featherweight
VS
39%
Burgos
61%
Jourdain
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jourdain
Jourdain holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Burgos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burgos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Burgos's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jourdain has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Burgos
Jourdain
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Burgos
Jourdain
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
50.4
50.0
Performance Avg
48.6
35
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
51
Burgos
Jourdain
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
2.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
60
1
Body
23
14
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance49
7Clinch32
0Ground3
Burgos
Jourdain
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burgos
Jourdain
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Burgos
Jourdain
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Burgos
Jourdain
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burgos
Jourdain
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
BurgosJourdain
Strike Zones
Burgos
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
84 absorbedJourdain
Attacking
84 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burgos targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Jourdain absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Jourdain targets the head (71% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burgos
RND
Jourdain
0/0R00/0
Burgos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Jourdain · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2Decision
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