UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Beltran
51%
Hague
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TH
CFR 16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hague
This is a genuine toss-up — Beltran at 49% vs Hague at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hague has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Hague has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Beltran's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hague has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Beltran
Hague
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+76"
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beltran
Hague
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
15.8
39.3
Performance Avg
40.4
43
Quality of Victory
54
33
Momentum Score
33
Beltran
Hague
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
34%
Strike Accuracy
59%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
26
0
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance16
5Clinch0
5Ground12
Beltran
Hague
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beltran
Hague
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/31 fights
Chin rating based on
5/34 fights
Beltran
Hague
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
33
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Beltran
Hague
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Beltran
Hague
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
BeltranHague
Strike Zones
Beltran
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedHague
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Beltran targets the head (89% of attacks) — Hague absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Hague targets the head (93% of attacks) — Beltran absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Beltran
RND
Hague
0/0R00/0
Beltran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hague · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Beltran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Upcoming
Igor PokrajacUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
James Te HunaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
Hague · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Joey BeltranRating 5.5Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · Dec · R3
Chris TuchschererRating 5.5Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Todd DuffeeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
W · Sub · R1
Pat BarryRating 5Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05