METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Calgary, Canada
28 Jul 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
39%
Markos
61%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Nina NuneswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Randa Markos · UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nunes
→
Actual result
Nunes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Nunes holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Markos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Markos's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarkosNunes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Markos
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
+64"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markos
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
25.7
34.0
Performance Avg
39.6
29
Quality of Victory
29
15
Momentum Score
70
Markos
Nunes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
11
0
Body
2
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Markos
Nunes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Markos
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Markos
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
70
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Markos
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Markos
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
MarkosNunes
Strike Zones
Markos
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedNunes
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Markos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (58% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Markos
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Markos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · R1
Luana PinheiroRating 4UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cynthia CalvilloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Claudia GadelhaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07