UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Lightweight
VS
51%
Jones
49%
Onama
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jones
This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 51% vs Onama at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Onama has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Jones
Onama
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
74"
Reach
74"
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Onama
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.0
51.1
46.2
Performance Avg
50.6
33
Quality of Victory
40
80
Momentum Score
50
Jones
Onama
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
24
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance24
4Clinch1
7Ground0
Jones
Onama
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jones
Onama
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Jones
Onama
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
50
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Jones
Onama
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Onama
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
JonesOnama
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedOnama
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (83% of attacks) — Onama absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Onama targets the head (96% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Onama
0/0R00/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Onama · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Axel SolaRating 5.8Decision
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Onama · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4KO/TKO
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