UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Las Vegas, USA
18 Feb 2023
Lightweight
VS
58%
Sadykhov
42%
Elder
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sadykhov
This is a genuine toss-up — Sadykhov at 58% vs Elder at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sadykhov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Sadykhov
Elder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
69"
Reach
+72"
32
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Sadykhov
Elder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.5
47.1
55.9
Performance Avg
43.9
40
Quality of Victory
33
100
Momentum Score
48
Sadykhov
Elder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
4
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Sadykhov
Elder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sadykhov
Elder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Sadykhov
Elder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
48
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Sadykhov
Elder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sadykhov
Elder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
SadykhovElder
Strike Zones
Sadykhov
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedElder
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sadykhov targets the body (57% of attacks) — Elder absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Elder targets the head (33% of attacks) — Sadykhov absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sadykhov
RND
Elder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sadykhov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Elder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Sadykhov · Last 5
Upcoming
Matheus CamiloUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Fares ZiamRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R2
Nikolas MottaRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · R1
Ismael BonfimRating 4.4UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
Upcoming
Viacheslav BorshchevDecision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Elder · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Genaro ValdezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · R3
Nazim SadykhovRating 7UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

