UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Middleweight
VS
44%
Cote
56%
McFedries
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:44
PC
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23 – 11
5'11"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
DM
Drew McFedries
"The Massacre"
12 – 7
Knockout Artist47 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McFedries

This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 44% vs McFedries at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.

McFedries has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McFedries has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cote
McFedries
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
46+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cote
McFedries
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
20.3
41.8
Performance Avg
53.8
38
Quality of Victory
60
79
Momentum Score
65
Cote
McFedries
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
3.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance7
3Clinch1
6Ground0
Cote
McFedries
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cote
McFedries
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Cote
McFedries
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Cote
McFedries
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cote
McFedries
Striking5.0 / 10.0Volume5.0 / 0.9Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 8.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Cote
Strike Zones
McFedries
Cote
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY5LEGS8 absorbed
McFedries
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY5LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the head (93% of attacks) — McFedries absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯McFedries targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cote
RND
McFedries
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L2.8L5.5L5.5L4.0W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.5L2004-102008-012012-112016-012017-04
WinLossTrend

McFedries · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0105.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L1.5L5.0W2.8L2006-112008-012008-102009-09
WinLossTrend

Cote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

McFedries · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06

News & Media

Patrick Cote · Drew McFedries
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