METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Middleweight
VS
44%
Cote
56%
McFedries
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:44
★ Official Result
Patrick CotewinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:44
def. Drew McFedries · UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McFedries
→
Actual result
Cote wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 44% vs McFedries at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McFedries has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CoteMcFedries
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cote
McFedries
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cote
McFedries
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
20.3
41.8
Performance Avg
53.8
38
Quality of Victory
60
79
Momentum Score
65
Cote
McFedries
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
8.3
5.0
Style: Volume
0.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance7
3Clinch1
6Ground0
Cote
McFedries
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cote
McFedries
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
30
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Cote
McFedries
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Cote
McFedries
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cote
McFedries
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
CoteMcFedries
Strike Zones
Cote
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMcFedries
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the head (93% of attacks) — McFedries absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯McFedries targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cote
RND
McFedries
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cote · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsDecision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
McFedries · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalSubmission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamKO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesSubmission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06