METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Welterweight
VS
89%
Koch
11%
Stewart
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Erik KochwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kyle Stewart · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Koch
→
Actual result
Koch wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Koch is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Koch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Risk flags
Koch's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KochStewart
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Koch
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+76"
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Koch
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
2.4
46.3
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
84
Momentum Score
0
Koch
Stewart
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.2
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch1
10Ground0
Koch
Stewart
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Koch
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Koch
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Koch
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koch
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
KochStewart
Strike Zones
Koch
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedStewart
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koch targets the head (93% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (100% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koch
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
Koch · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyle StewartDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Shane CampbellSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Daron CruickshankKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
Stewart · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Erik KochDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Sub · R1
Chance RencountreSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01