UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Silva
57%
Struve
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:16
AS
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
19 – 12
6'4"82" reachOrthodox46 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 15
SS
Stefan Struve
"Skyscraper"
33 – 13
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Struve

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 43% vs Struve at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Struve throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Struve has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Struve
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'11"
82"
Reach
+84"
46
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Struve
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
20.6
47.0
Performance Avg
51.7
58
Quality of Victory
50
26
Momentum Score
98
Silva
Struve
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
52%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground11
Silva
Struve
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Struve
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
7
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/31 fights
Chin rating based on
24/46 fights
Silva
Struve
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Silva
Struve
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
85%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Struve
Striking10.0 / 4.9Volume0.6 / 2.3Grappling0.0 / 4.1Wrestling0.0 / 2.8Submission0.0 / 4.6Pressure7.9 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.6
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Silva
Strike Zones
Struve
Silva
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Struve
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Struve targets the head (92% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Struve
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5W1.5L2.2L1.5L5.2W1.5L1.5L2.8L2012-052013-052015-082016-09
WinLossTrend

Struve · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W5.2W5.0W6.2W4.0L1.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W4.0L6.2L5.9L5.9W2.8L1.9L2009-022010-122013-032017-092020-10
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Roy NelsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R2
Soa PaleleiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02

Struve · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

News & Media

Antonio Silva · Stefan Struve
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