UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Bantamweight
VS
91%
9%
Perrin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Aoriqileng
Aoriqileng
"The Mongolian Murderer"
26 – 12
5'7"69" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Jay
Jay Perrin
"The Joker"
10 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide32 yrsSwitch67" reach5'7"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge:

is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.

Striking split: throws more volume but Perrin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Perrin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Perrin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.1
5.0
45.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
58
Momentum Score
0
Perrin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
58%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
38
7
Body
9
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance36
6Clinch12
0Ground0
Perrin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perrin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/38 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Perrin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Perrin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Perrin
Striking6.0 / 0.0Volume5.0 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Strike Zones
Perrin
Attacking
17HEAD7BODY1LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
38HEAD9BODY1LEGS48 absorbed
Perrin
Attacking
38HEAD9BODY1LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD7BODY1LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (68% of attacks) — Perrin absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Perrin targets the head (79% of attacks) — absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND
Perrin
0/0R00/0

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.6L5.6L5.0W4.5W2.6L4.5W7.1L5.2W2021-042022-042023-062024-092025-10
WinLossTrend

Perrin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.6L6.3L3.1L2022-022022-082022-12
WinLossTrend

· Last 5

Upcoming
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W · KO · R1
Cody GibsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Daniel Marcos
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Johnny MunozRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10

Perrin · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 3.1
Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
AoriqilengRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02

News & Media

Aoriqileng · Jay Perrin
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