METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Bantamweight
VS
92%
8%
Perrin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 44
★ Official Result
Aoriqileng winsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jay Perrin · UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
→
Actual result
wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Perrin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Perrin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Perrin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.4
3.7
41.5
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
58
Momentum Score
0
Perrin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
38
7
Body
9
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance36
6Clinch12
0Ground0
Perrin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Perrin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/38 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Perrin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Perrin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perrin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Strike Zones
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
48 absorbedPerrin
Attacking
48 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (68% of attacks) — Perrin absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Perrin targets the head (79% of attacks) — absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Perrin
0/0R00/0
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