UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2006
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Monson
49%
Hinkle
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Monson
This is a genuine toss-up — Monson at 51% vs Hinkle at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hinkle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Hinkle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hinkle has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Monson
Hinkle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
55
Age
+52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Monson
Hinkle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
19.5
47.8
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
60
89
Momentum Score
52
Monson
Hinkle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
4.8
48%
Strike Accuracy
69%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
6
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
3Clinch2
7Ground3
Monson
Hinkle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Monson
Hinkle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/86 fights
Chin rating based on
3/28 fights
Monson
Hinkle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Monson
Hinkle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Monson
Hinkle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MonsonHinkle
Strike Zones
Monson
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHinkle
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Monson targets the body (60% of attacks) — Hinkle absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Hinkle targets the head (60% of attacks) — Monson absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Monson
RND
Hinkle
0/0R00/0
Monson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Hinkle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Monson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Tim SylviaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11
W · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 61: Bitter Rivals · 2006-07
W · Dec · R3
Marcio CruzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 59: Reality Check · 2006-04
W · Sub · R1
Branden Lee HinkleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
Hinkle · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Jason LambertRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 5 · 2006-06
L · Sub · R1
Jeff MonsonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · KO · R1
Sean GannonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10