UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
26%
Smith
74%
Lemos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:53
LS
Leslie Smith
"The Peacemaker"
10 – 7
5'9"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Amanda
Amanda Lemos
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'4"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lemos

Lemos is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Smith throws more volume but Lemos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lemos has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Smith
Lemos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Smith
Lemos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
56.2
47.6
Performance Avg
49.6
41
Quality of Victory
43
79
Momentum Score
85
Smith
Lemos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
56%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
51
Head
18
11
Body
4
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
26Distance25
38Clinch2
0Ground0
Smith
Lemos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Lemos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
48
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Smith
Lemos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
85
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Smith
Lemos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smith
Lemos
Striking6.1 / 4.5Volume5.1 / 4.8Grappling1.2 / 2.8Wrestling0.8 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 2.2Pressure5.2 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Smith
Strike Zones
Lemos
Smith
Attacking
51HEAD11BODY2LEGS64 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD4BODY5LEGS27 absorbed
Lemos
Attacking
18HEAD4BODY5LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
51HEAD11BODY2LEGS64 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Lemos targets the head (67% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smith
RND
Lemos
0/0R00/0

Smith · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.0W4.8L4.5W1.5L5.3W6.3W2014-042014-112016-052017-07
WinLossTrend

Lemos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L5.0W5.3W5.0W5.0W4.6W2.3L5.2W5.9W7.3L5.7W2.8L5.4W7.4L6.7L2017-072021-072022-112025-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Smith · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Amanda LemosRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · KO · R1
Cristiane JustinoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Rin NakaiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
L · R2
Jessica EyeRating 4.8
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11

Lemos · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Leslie Smith · Amanda Lemos
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