UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
Goiania, Brazil
30 May 2015
Lightweight
VS
63%
Trinaldo
37%
Parke
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Trinaldo
Trinaldo holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Parke has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Parke has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Trinaldo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo
Parke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Parke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
18.7
48.6
Performance Avg
52.6
35
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
55
Trinaldo
Parke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
32%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Trinaldo
Parke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Parke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
9/29 fights
Trinaldo
Parke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Trinaldo
Parke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
20%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Parke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
TrinaldoParke
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedParke
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Parke absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Parke targets the head (100% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Parke
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Parke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Parke · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · KO · R2
Naoyuki KotaniRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07