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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Glendale, USA
12 Jun 2021
Lightweight
VS
38%
Frevola
62%
McKinney
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:07
Matt
Matt Frevola
"The SteamRolla"
116
5'9"71" reachOrthodox36 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 39
Terrance
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
188
Knockout Artist31 yrsSwitch73" reach5'10"
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Terrance McKinneywinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:07
def. Matt Frevola · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McKinney
Actual result
McKinney wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

McKinney holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Frevola has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McKinney has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Risk flags

Frevola's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McKinney has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FrevolaMcKinney
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Frevola
McKinney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Frevola
McKinney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.6
63.9
45.8
Performance Avg
57.5
46
Quality of Victory
58
20
Momentum Score
98
Frevola
McKinney
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
8.7
4.1
Style: Volume
1.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Frevola
McKinney
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Frevola
McKinney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Frevola
McKinney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
98
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Frevola
McKinney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Frevola
McKinney
Striking6.9 / 7.4Volume4.1 / 1.1Grappling1.0 / 3.0Wrestling0.7 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure5.6 / 8.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
Frevola
Strike Zones
McKinney
Frevola
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
McKinney
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McKinney targets the head (100% of attacks) — Frevola absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Frevola
RND
McKinney
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Frevola · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyle Nelson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Fares Ziam
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · KO · R1
Benoit Saint Denis
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Drew Dober
KO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Ottman Azaitar
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

McKinney · Last 5

L · KO · R1
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle Nelson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris Duncan
Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav Borshchev
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir Hadzovic
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

News & Media

Matt Frevola · Terrance McKinney
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