METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Jalin Turner un-retired to chase something; Kaue Fernandes is three wins into taking it from him.
Jalin Turner walked away from the sport, thought better of it, came back, and knocked out Edson Barboza in the first round in December. That is one of the more compelling returns on this card, and it is being tested immediately against a man riding a three-fight UFC win streak with no obvious weaknesses. Turner is a physical outlier at lightweight — 6'3" with a 77-inch reach, southpaw, and a 100 …
Turner is back from a brief retirement and snapped a two-fight skid with a first-round TKO of Barboza in December. His 100 per cent finish rate and 6'3" southpaw frame make him lethal early, but his 38 chin rating and 15-9 record show how he loses. He needs this early — the longer it goes, the worse it gets.
Fernandes rides a three-fight UFC win streak at 11-2 with an 87.2 momentum score and a 98 chin rating. He has almost no takedown game (0.56 wrestling) and will not need one. He needs to survive the first five minutes intact and then take over.
Whether Fernandes survives Turner's first-round pressure (8.71)
Turner's ten-centimetre reach and southpaw stance against an orthodox opponent
Fernandes' volume advantage across three rounds
Turner's 38 chin rating in the later rounds
Turner's mental state one fight into an un-retirement
Turner finishes 100 per cent of his wins and only needs one connection with that reach
Fernandes' UFC streak has come against softer opposition than Turner has faced
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown