METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Lightweight
VS
55%
Anjos
45%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rafael Dos AnjoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nate Diaz · UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anjos
→
Actual result
Anjos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 55% vs Diaz at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnjosDiaz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Anjos
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+76"
41
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Anjos
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.1
35.3
47.7
Performance Avg
53.4
41
Quality of Victory
50
49
Momentum Score
100
Anjos
Diaz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
7.0
5.7
Style: Volume
3.2
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
20Ground0
Anjos
Diaz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
5.6
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.9
2.4
Submission Style (/10)
6.3
5
Submission wins
10
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anjos
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/49 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Anjos
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Anjos
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
10
12
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anjos
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
AnjosDiaz
Strike Zones
Anjos
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (91% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anjos
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
Anjos · Last 5
Upcoming
Alexander HernandezUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotDecision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
Diaz · Last 5
W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorDecision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08