UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Lightweight
VS
52%
Anjos
48%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
ND
Nate Diaz
22 – 13
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'0"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anjos

This is a genuine toss-up — Anjos at 52% vs Diaz at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Diaz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anjos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Diaz has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anjos
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+76"
41
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Anjos
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
35.3
47.7
Performance Avg
53.4
41
Quality of Victory
50
49
Momentum Score
100
Anjos
Diaz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
20Ground0
Anjos
Diaz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.6
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anjos
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/49 fights
Chin rating based on
27/35 fights
Anjos
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Anjos
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
10
12
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anjos
Diaz
Striking3.1 / 2.4Volume5.7 / 3.2Grappling3.3 / 5.6Wrestling2.3 / 3.9Submission2.4 / 6.3Pressure4.8 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.6
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
2.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Anjos
Strike Zones
Diaz
Anjos
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Diaz
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anjos targets the head (91% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anjos
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Diaz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W6.0L5.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.7L4.6W7.1W7.5L4.5W4.8L6.6L5.9W2007-062009-092011-122016-032022-09
WinLossTrend

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

Diaz · Last 5

W · Sub · R4
Tony FergusonRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · R3
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.8
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R5
Conor McGregorRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08

News & Media

Rafael Dos Anjos · Nate Diaz
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