UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Welterweight
VS
54%
Pierce
46%
Baczynski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SB
CFR 14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pierce
This is a genuine toss-up — Pierce at 54% vs Baczynski at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Baczynski throws more volume but Pierce connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Baczynski has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pierce
Baczynski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'3"
71"
Reach
+75"
45
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pierce
Baczynski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
14.3
48.0
Performance Avg
43.3
37
Quality of Victory
42
38
Momentum Score
33
Pierce
Baczynski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
31%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
18
0
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance21
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Pierce
Baczynski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pierce
Baczynski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Pierce
Baczynski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
38
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Pierce
Baczynski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pierce
Baczynski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
PierceBaczynski
Strike Zones
Pierce
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedBaczynski
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pierce targets the head (100% of attacks) — Baczynski absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Baczynski targets the head (82% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pierce
RND
Baczynski
0/0R00/0
Pierce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Baczynski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pierce · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
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W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
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Baczynski · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Leon EdwardsRating 2.6KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 5.1Decision
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L · KO · R1
Brian MelanconRating 1.5KO/TKO
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