UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Lightweight
VS
42%
Sanchez
58%
Jury
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jury
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 42% vs Jury at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jury has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jury has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sanchez
Jury
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
44
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Jury
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
17.8
46.0
Performance Avg
51.3
37
Quality of Victory
41
20
Momentum Score
50
Sanchez
Jury
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
5
6
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
10Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sanchez
Jury
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Jury
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Sanchez
Jury
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
50
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Sanchez
Jury
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
13
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Jury
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
SanchezJury
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedJury
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the body (60% of attacks) — Jury absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Jury targets the head (63% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Jury
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jury · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Jury · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12