UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Yan
51%
McGhee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGhee
This is a genuine toss-up — Yan at 49% vs McGhee at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Yan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Yan
McGhee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
33+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Yan
McGhee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.1
68.4
56.4
Performance Avg
60.4
44
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
87
Yan
McGhee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
4
2
Body
1
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance8
8Clinch0
0Ground0
Yan
McGhee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yan
McGhee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Yan
McGhee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
87
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Yan
McGhee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yan
McGhee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
YanMcGhee
Strike Zones
Yan
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMcGhee
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yan targets the head (81% of attacks) — McGhee absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯McGhee targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yan
RND
McGhee
0/0R00/0
Yan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
McGhee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Yan · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
McGhee · Last 5
Upcoming
Jakub WiklaczUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · KO · R2
Gaston BolanosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
W · KO · R1
JP BuysRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

