UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
Dallas, USA
14 Mar 2015
Lightweight
VS
5%
Lindsey
95%
Duffy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Duffy
Duffy is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Duffy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Striking split: Duffy throws more volume but Lindsey connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lindsey's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Duffy has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lindsey
Duffy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
Reach
73"
39
Age
+38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Lindsey
Duffy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.2
21.7
0.0
Performance Avg
49.0
0
Quality of Victory
48
0
Momentum Score
100
Lindsey
Duffy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
36%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
0
Body
3
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Lindsey
Duffy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lindsey
Duffy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/19 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Lindsey
Duffy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Lindsey
Duffy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lindsey
Duffy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
LindseyDuffy
Strike Zones
Lindsey
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedDuffy
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lindsey targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Duffy absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Duffy targets the head (73% of attacks) — Lindsey absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lindsey
RND
Duffy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lindsey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Duffy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lindsey · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Joe DuffyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
L · KO · R3
Jon TuckRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Duffy · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
James VickRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Mitch ClarkeRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07