★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 21 Welterweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale
Las Vegas, USA
12 Jul 2015
Ultimate Fighter 21 Welterweight Tournament
VS
96%
Usman
4%
Hassan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Usman
Usman is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Usman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Striking split: Hassan throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Usman
Hassan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"
Reach
39+
Age
43
Switch
Stance
—
Usman
Hassan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
2.1
61.2
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Usman
Hassan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch1
3Ground0
Usman
Hassan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Hassan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Usman
Hassan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Usman
Hassan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Hassan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
UsmanHassan
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHassan
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hassan absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hassan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Hassan
0/0R00/0
Usman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Hassan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Hassan · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Sub · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.9Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07