METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Lineker
70%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John LinekerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marlon Vera · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Vera
→
Actual result
Lineker wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Vera is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Lineker throws more volume but Vera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LinekerVera
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lineker
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+70"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lineker
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.8
51.4
56.0
Performance Avg
50.4
43
Quality of Victory
46
83
Momentum Score
39
Lineker
Vera
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
10
Body
2
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
17Distance14
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Lineker
Vera
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lineker
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
Lineker
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Lineker
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
73%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lineker
Vera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
LinekerVera
Strike Zones
Lineker
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedVera
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lineker targets the body (56% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (53% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lineker
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0
Lineker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Lineker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Vera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08