UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Lineker
70%
Vera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JL
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
31 – 9
5'3"67" reachOrthodox35 yrsStriker
CFR 22
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide33 yrsSwitch70" reach5'8"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vera

Vera is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Lineker throws more volume but Vera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Lineker
Vera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lineker
Vera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.8
51.4
56.0
Performance Avg
50.4
43
Quality of Victory
46
83
Momentum Score
39
Lineker
Vera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
10
Body
2
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
17Distance14
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Lineker
Vera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lineker
Vera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
26/35 fights
Lineker
Vera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
39
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Lineker
Vera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
73%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lineker
Vera
Striking6.5 / 5.8Volume4.8 / 3.3Grappling1.7 / 2.8Wrestling1.2 / 1.9Submission0.8 / 2.7Pressure6.3 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Lineker
Strike Zones
Vera
Lineker
Attacking
7HEAD10BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY6LEGS17 absorbed
Vera
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY6LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD10BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lineker targets the body (56% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Vera targets the head (53% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lineker
RND
Vera
0/0R00/0

Lineker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.0W5.7W5.0W4.5W5.6L5.3W5.8W7.0L2012-052013-102015-092016-122019-04
WinLossTrend

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Lineker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

John Lineker · Marlon Vera
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