UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Kallang, Singapore
23 Jun 2018
Flyweight
VS
73%
Schnell
27%
Inoue
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Matt
Matt Schnell
"Danger"
17 – 10
5'8"70" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 38
NI
Naoki Inoue
11 – 1
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Schnell

Schnell is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Schnell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Schnell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Schnell's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Schnell
Inoue
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
36
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schnell
Inoue
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.1
14.2
40.7
Performance Avg
35.0
37
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
55
Schnell
Inoue
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
13
2
Body
2
6
Leg
7
RangeRange
21Distance18
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Schnell
Inoue
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Schnell
Inoue
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Schnell
Inoue
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
55
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Schnell
Inoue
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Schnell
Inoue
Striking0.9 / 1.0Volume5.5 / 9.0Grappling4.8 / 2.4Wrestling3.4 / 1.7Submission4.3 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Schnell
Strike Zones
Inoue
Schnell
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY6LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY7LEGS22 absorbed
Inoue
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY7LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY6LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Schnell targets the head (65% of attacks) — Inoue absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Inoue targets the head (59% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Schnell
RND
Inoue
0/0R00/0

Schnell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0102.7L1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.7W2.3L5.9W2.9L3.3L2.9L5.0W3.5L2016-122019-032022-052024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Inoue · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.7L2017-062018-06
WinLossTrend

Schnell · Last 5

Upcoming
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L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesRating 3.5
Submission
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W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

Inoue · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Carls John De TomasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06

News & Media

Matt Schnell · Naoki Inoue
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