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UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2015
Welterweight
VS
32%
Woodley
68%
Gastelum
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
TW
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
19 – 7
5'9"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
Kelvin
Kelvin Gastelum
21 – 11
Well-Rounded34 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 41
β˜… Official Result
Tyron WoodleywinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Kelvin Gastelum Β· UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gastelum
β†’
Actual result
Woodley wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Gastelum holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings β€” but Woodley has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 17 points.

Striking split: Gastelum throws more volume but Woodley connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gastelum has a chin rating of 38 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WoodleyGastelum
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Woodley
Gastelum
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
71"
44
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Woodley
Gastelum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
41.4
58.9
Performance Avg
47.4
58
Quality of Victory
42
40
Momentum Score
28
Woodley
Gastelum
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
5
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance14
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Woodley
Gastelum
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Woodley
Gastelum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
38
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
26/32 fights
Woodley
Gastelum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
40
28
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R3
Woodley
Gastelum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
36%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Woodley
Gastelum
Striking6.8 / 3.3Volume3.9 / 6.3Grappling1.7 / 2.7Wrestling1.2 / 1.9Submission1.1 / 1.4Pressure6.5 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Woodley
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Woodley
Attacking
4HEAD5BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD5BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Gastelum
Attacking
11HEAD5BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD5BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the body (56% of attacks) β€” Gastelum absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Gastelum targets the head (69% of attacks) β€” Woodley absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Woodley
RND
Gastelum
0/0R00/0

Woodley Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.8W5.3W5.1W4.5W5.1W6.6L5.7L5.3L3.0L2013-022014-062017-032020-052021-03
WinLossTrend

Gastelum Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.2W6.1L4.5W5.5W3.6L5.0W4.5W6.9L5.5L2.4L4.5W6.4L6.5L5.2W5.1L5.4W7.5L4.5W3.0L2013-042015-112019-112024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Woodley Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou Β· 2021-03
L Β· KO Β· R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley Β· 2020-09
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns Β· 2020-05
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith Β· 2019-03
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Darren TillRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till Β· 2018-09

Gastelum Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg Β· 2026-04
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Dustin StoltzfusRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva Β· 2025-09
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Joe PyferRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 Β· 2025-06
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov Β· 2024-06
L Β· Sub Β· R3
Sean BradyRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Β· 2023-12

News & Media

Tyron Woodley Β· Kelvin Gastelum
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