UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Jacoby
47%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dustin
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
22 – 9
6'3"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight win streakStriker
CFR 62
Michal
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
22 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak31 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jacoby

This is a genuine toss-up — Jacoby at 53% vs Oleksiejczuk at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jacoby's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
54.6
53.8
Performance Avg
55.3
48
Quality of Victory
53
91
Momentum Score
52
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
54%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
16
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance18
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/31 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
52
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Striking8.3 / 9.2Volume3.6 / 2.8Grappling0.7 / 0.5Wrestling0.5 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Jacoby
Strike Zones
Oleksiejczuk
Jacoby
Attacking
28HEAD2BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 absorbed
Oleksiejczuk
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY0LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD2BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (90% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jacoby
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0

Jacoby · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.0L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5W5.6W6.4L7.4L6.3W6.4L2.5L6.6W5.0W5.2W2011-102021-082022-102024-062026-02
WinLossTrend

Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W3.3L3.0L5.3W5.0W6.9L5.0W5.5W4.1L6.1W2.1L2.1L7.0L5.0W6.1W4.5W2019-022021-102023-082025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Jacoby · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Oleksiejczuk · Last 5

Upcoming
Abus Magomedov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

News & Media

Dustin Jacoby · Michal Oleksiejczuk
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