METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Jacoby
47%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin JacobywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michal Oleksiejczuk · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Jacoby wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jacoby at 53% vs Oleksiejczuk at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobyOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
52.9
52.3
Performance Avg
54.0
48
Quality of Victory
53
91
Momentum Score
52
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
7.3
3.6
Style: Volume
2.7
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
16
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance18
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
24
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
52
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
JacobyOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (90% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Abus MagomedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08