METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Jacoby
47%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin JacobywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Michal Oleksiejczuk · UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Jacoby wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jacoby at 53% vs Oleksiejczuk at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobyOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
54.6
53.8
Performance Avg
55.3
48
Quality of Victory
53
91
Momentum Score
52
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
2.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
54%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
16
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance18
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/31 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
52
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
JacobyOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (90% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Jacoby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jacoby · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
Abus MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08