UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Featherweight
VS
17%
Brown
83%
Pineda
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pineda
Pineda is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pineda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Striking split: Pineda throws more volume but Brown connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pineda has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Pineda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
50
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Pineda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.2
52.9
28.3
Performance Avg
47.4
25
Quality of Victory
53
45
Momentum Score
85
Brown
Pineda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance4
1Clinch0
3Ground3
Brown
Pineda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Pineda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
44
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/35 fights
Chin rating based on
14/45 fights
Brown
Pineda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Brown
Pineda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Pineda
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
BrownPineda
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPineda
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pineda absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Pineda targets the head (86% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Pineda
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Pineda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 1.5KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
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