UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Welterweight
VS
34%
Roberts
66%
Parsons
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:57
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Parsons
Parsons holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Roberts has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Parsons has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Parsons has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roberts's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roberts
Parsons
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
69"
38
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Parsons
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.8
60.5
45.6
Performance Avg
73.0
43
Quality of Victory
55
45
Momentum Score
100
Roberts
Parsons
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
5.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
58%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
35
4
Body
6
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance32
0Clinch6
0Ground5
Roberts
Parsons
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberts
Parsons
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Roberts
Parsons
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
Roberts
Parsons
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberts
Parsons
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
RobertsParsons
Strike Zones
Roberts
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedParsons
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (74% of attacks) — Parsons absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Parsons targets the head (81% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberts
RND
Parsons
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Roberts · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jonny ParsonsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim ImadaevRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
Parsons · Last 1
W · KO · R2
Danny RobertsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07