UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
Toronto, Canada
8 Dec 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
35%
Gadelha
65%
Nunes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nunes
Nunes holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Gadelha has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Gadelha
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
+64"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gadelha
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
25.7
40.8
Performance Avg
39.6
29
Quality of Victory
29
30
Momentum Score
70
Gadelha
Nunes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
32
2
Body
4
0
Leg
16
RangeRange
22Distance52
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Gadelha
Nunes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gadelha
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
82
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Gadelha
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
70
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gadelha
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gadelha
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
GadelhaNunes
Strike Zones
Gadelha
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedNunes
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gadelha targets the head (91% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Nunes targets the head (62% of attacks) — Gadelha absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gadelha
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Gadelha · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Gadelha · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 4.8Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cynthia CalvilloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezRating 7.4Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Claudia GadelhaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07