UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Aug 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
22%
Markos
78%
Grasso
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Grasso
Grasso is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grasso has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Grasso throws more volume but Markos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Markos's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Markos
Grasso
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
+66"
40
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Markos
Grasso
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.7
59.1
34.0
Performance Avg
52.8
29
Quality of Victory
45
15
Momentum Score
84
Markos
Grasso
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
17
1
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance16
3Clinch5
2Ground0
Markos
Grasso
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Markos
Grasso
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Markos
Grasso
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
84
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R4
Markos
Grasso
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Markos
Grasso
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
MarkosGrasso
Strike Zones
Markos
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedGrasso
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Markos targets the head (93% of attacks) — Grasso absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Grasso targets the head (81% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Markos
RND
Grasso
0/0R00/0
Markos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Grasso · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5Decision
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L · R1
Luana PinheiroRating 4UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Grasso · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Maycee BarberRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · Sub · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.7Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03