UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Middleweight
VS
53%
Borralho
47%
Ridder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Caio
Caio Borralho
"The Natural"
18 – 2
6'1"75" reachSouthpaw33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Reinier
Reinier de Ridder
"RdR"
21 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw78" reach6'4"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Borralho

This is a genuine toss-up — Borralho at 53% vs Ridder at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ridder has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Borralho has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Borralho
Ridder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Borralho
Ridder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.8
55.7
54.6
Performance Avg
53.5
32
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
53
Borralho
Ridder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.8
63%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
4
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance19
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Borralho
Ridder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borralho
Ridder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/20 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Borralho
Ridder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Borralho
Ridder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Borralho
Ridder
Striking3.0 / 3.8Volume7.8 / 3.3Grappling2.8 / 4.6Wrestling2.0 / 3.2Submission1.3 / 5.0Pressure4.4 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
7.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Borralho
Strike Zones
Ridder
Borralho
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Ridder
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Borralho targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ridder absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Ridder targets the head (84% of attacks) — Borralho absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Borralho
RND
Ridder
0/0R00/0

Borralho · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W4.5W5.5W6.2W5.3W6.0W5.5W6.9L5.5W2022-042023-042024-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Ridder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.6W5.6W6.9W5.4W4.7L6.9L2024-112025-012025-052025-072025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Borralho · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R5
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Ridder · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan AllenRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo NickalRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Caio Borralho · Reinier de Ridder
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