UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
72%
Shahbazyan
28%
Dobson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:33
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shahbazyan
Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Shahbazyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
24.0
56.3
Performance Avg
25.0
51
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
37%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
7
2
Body
2
6
Leg
6
RangeRange
16Distance12
1Clinch3
10Ground0
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
ShahbazyanDobson
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedDobson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (70% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Dobson targets the head (47% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Dobson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dobson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Dobson · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Tafon NchukwiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02