METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Las Vegas, USA
23 Mar 2024
Middleweight
VS
72%
Shahbazyan
28%
Dobson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:33
★ Official Result
Edmen ShahbazyanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:33
def. AJ Dobson · UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shahbazyan
→
Actual result
Shahbazyan wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Shahbazyan is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShahbazyanDobson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.0
24.0
54.6
Performance Avg
25.0
51
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
22
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
0.8
3.0
Style: Volume
8.5
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
7
2
Body
2
6
Leg
6
RangeRange
16Distance12
1Clinch3
10Ground0
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Dobson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
ShahbazyanDobson
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedDobson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (70% of attacks) — Dobson absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Dobson targets the head (47% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Dobson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
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Dobson · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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