UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Paris, France
6 Sept 2025
Welterweight
VS
36%
Gustafsson
64%
Fakhretdinov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fakhretdinov
Fakhretdinov holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Gustafsson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fakhretdinov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Fakhretdinov throws more volume but Gustafsson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Gustafsson
Fakhretdinov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gustafsson
Fakhretdinov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.9
67.7
35.0
Performance Avg
61.4
25
Quality of Victory
36
55
Momentum Score
100
Gustafsson
Fakhretdinov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.0
67%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
19
1
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance15
1Clinch8
0Ground0
Gustafsson
Fakhretdinov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gustafsson
Fakhretdinov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Gustafsson
Fakhretdinov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
Gustafsson
Fakhretdinov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gustafsson
Fakhretdinov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
GustafssonFakhretdinov
Strike Zones
Gustafsson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedFakhretdinov
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gustafsson targets the head (80% of attacks) — Fakhretdinov absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Fakhretdinov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gustafsson
RND
Fakhretdinov
0/0R00/0
Gustafsson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Fakhretdinov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Gustafsson · Last 3
Upcoming
Daniil DonchenkoUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Khaos WilliamsRating 5.9Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
Fakhretdinov · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Carlos LealRating 5.3Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 4.8Decision
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Upcoming
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Kevin LeeRating 5Submission
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