METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Lightweight
VS
38%
Rinaldi
62%
Gillespie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:46
★ Official Result
Gregor GillespiewinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:46
def. Jordan Rinaldi · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gillespie
→
Actual result
Gillespie wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Gillespie holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Rinaldi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gillespie has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RinaldiGillespie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
71"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
24.8
39.7
Performance Avg
65.3
40
Quality of Victory
51
43
Momentum Score
89
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
7.5
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
8.6
4.8
Style: Volume
2.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
31
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground28
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/21 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
89
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
86%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
RinaldiGillespie
Strike Zones
Rinaldi
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedGillespie
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rinaldi targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gillespie absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gillespie targets the head (91% of attacks) — Rinaldi absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rinaldi
RND
Gillespie
0/0R00/0
Rinaldi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightDecision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
W · Sub · R1
Alvaro Herrera MendozaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Abel TrujilloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Gillespie · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin LeeKO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · Sub · R2
Vinc PichelSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Jordan RinaldiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01