UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Charlotte, USA
27 Jan 2018
Lightweight
VS
38%
Rinaldi
62%
Gillespie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:46
JR
Jordan Rinaldi
"All Day"
14 – 7
5'10"72" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
GG
Gregor Gillespie
"The Gift"
14 – 1
Knockout Artist39 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gillespie

Gillespie holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Rinaldi has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gillespie has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Gillespie has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Rinaldi
Gillespie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
71"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
24.8
39.7
Performance Avg
65.3
40
Quality of Victory
51
43
Momentum Score
89
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
58%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
31
1
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground28
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/21 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
89
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Rinaldi
Gillespie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
86%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rinaldi
Gillespie
Striking0.8 / 7.5Volume4.8 / 2.9Grappling5.2 / 2.6Wrestling3.6 / 1.8Submission5.0 / 2.9Pressure4.7 / 8.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Rinaldi
Strike Zones
Gillespie
Rinaldi
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD1BODY2LEGS34 absorbed
Gillespie
Attacking
31HEAD1BODY2LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rinaldi targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gillespie absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gillespie targets the head (91% of attacks) — Rinaldi absorbs 91% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rinaldi
RND
Gillespie
0/0R00/0

Rinaldi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W6.9L2016-052017-082018-012018-112019-03
WinLossTrend

Gillespie · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.5W5.2W1.5L6.3W2016-092017-092018-062019-112021-05
WinLossTrend

Rinaldi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01
W · Sub · R1
Alvaro Herrera MendozaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Abel TrujilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

Gillespie · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin LeeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · Sub · R2
Vinc PichelRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · KO · R1
Jordan RinaldiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01

News & Media

Jordan Rinaldi · Gregor Gillespie
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