UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2016
Flyweight
VS
38%
Makovsky
62%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ZM
Zach Makovsky
"Fun Size"
20 – 8
5'4"64" reachSouthpaw43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 11
DO
Dustin Ortiz
19 – 8
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortiz

Ortiz holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Makovsky has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Striking split: Ortiz throws more volume but Makovsky connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Makovsky
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
64"
Reach
+65"
43
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Makovsky
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.7
17.2
32.1
Performance Avg
47.8
25
Quality of Victory
42
15
Momentum Score
45
Makovsky
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
4
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
4Clinch3
0Ground6
Makovsky
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Makovsky
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Makovsky
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Makovsky
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makovsky
Ortiz
Striking0.9 / 6.1Volume8.9 / 5.1Grappling2.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.7 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.3 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Makovsky
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Makovsky
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Ortiz
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makovsky targets the body (67% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (69% of attacks) — Makovsky absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makovsky
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0

Makovsky · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.5L4.6W5.5L5.5L5.5L2013-122014-082015-052016-12
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W3.6L5.0W5.8W5.2W5.5L2013-112014-112016-122018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Makovsky · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dustin OrtizRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
John DodsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
W · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

News & Media

Zach Makovsky · Dustin Ortiz
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