METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jan 2016
Welterweight
VS
93%
Westcott
7%
Garcia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:12
★ Official Result
Sheldon WestcottwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:12
def. Edgar Garcia · UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Westcott
→
Actual result
Westcott wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Westcott is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Westcott has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Striking split: Garcia throws more volume but Westcott connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Garcia has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WestcottGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Westcott
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
41+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Westcott
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
1.5
49.3
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Westcott
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
2.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
35%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
33Ground0
Westcott
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Westcott
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Westcott
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Westcott
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Westcott
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WestcottGarcia
Strike Zones
Westcott
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Westcott targets the head (100% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Westcott absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Westcott
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Westcott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Westcott · Last 3
W · KO · R1
Edgar GarciaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Dec · R3
Pawel PawlakRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · KO · R2
Elias TheodorouRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
Garcia · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Sheldon WestcottRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Hector UrbinaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Brad BlackburnRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06