UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos
Las Vegas, USA
12 Aug 2023
Heavyweight
VS
40%
Parisian
60%
Buday
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Buday
Buday holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Parisian has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Parisian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Parisian throws more volume but Buday connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Parisian's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Parisian
Buday
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"+
Reach
77"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parisian
Buday
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
54.5
35.4
Performance Avg
52.5
40
Quality of Victory
29
50
Momentum Score
78
Parisian
Buday
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
35
6
Body
7
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance28
6Clinch14
0Ground0
Parisian
Buday
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parisian
Buday
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/18 fights
Parisian
Buday
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Parisian
Buday
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parisian
Buday
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
ParisianBuday
Strike Zones
Parisian
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedBuday
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parisian targets the head (58% of attacks) — Buday absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Buday targets the head (83% of attacks) — Parisian absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parisian
RND
Buday
0/0R00/0
Parisian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Buday · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Parisian · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Robelis DespaigneRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Martin BudayRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Alan BaudotRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Buday · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcus BuchechaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Uran SatybaldievRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Shamil GazievRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Josh ParisianRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08