Kevin Lee vs Gregor Gillespie — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz

New York City, USA

2 Nov 2019

Lightweight

59%

Lee

41%

Gillespie

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 2:47

Kevin Lee

"The Motown Phenom"

18 – 8

5'9"77" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 35

Gregor Gillespie

"The Gift"

14 – 1

Knockout Artist39 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"

CFR 25

★ Official Result

Kevin LeewinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:47

def. Gregor Gillespie · UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Lee

→

Actual result

Lee wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lee at 59% vs Gillespie at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

LeeGillespie

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Lee

Gillespie

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'9"+

Height

5'7"

77"+

Reach

71"

34+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Lee

Gillespie

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

35.2

24.8

48.3

Performance Avg

65.3

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Lee

Gillespie

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.0

/ 10

7.5

/ 10

5.6

Style: Pressure

8.6

4.1

Style: Volume

2.9

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

20Distance9

0Clinch0

1Ground0

Lee

Gillespie

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.8

/ 10

2.6

/ 10

2.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.8

3.6

Submission Style (/10)

2.9

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Lee

Gillespie

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

13 fights ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

19/26 fights

Chin rating based on

8/15 fights

Lee

Gillespie

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Sub · R4

Last 5

W · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

W · KO · R2

W · Sub · R2

W · KO · R1

Lee

Gillespie

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

55%

86%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee

Gillespie

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.5

3.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.8

3.6

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.9

5.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.6

4.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.9

Lee

Strike Zones

Gillespie

Lee

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Gillespie

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Lee targets the head (90% of attacks) — Gillespie absorbs 90% of strikes there

🎯Gillespie targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee

RND

Gillespie

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Rinat Fakhretdinov

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

L · Dec · R3

Daniel Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

L · Sub · R3

Charles Oliveira

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03

W · KO · R1

Gregor Gillespie

KO/TKO

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

L · Sub · R4

Rafael Dos Anjos

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

Gillespie · Last 5

W · KO · R2

Diego Ferreira

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05

L · KO · R1

Kevin Lee

KO/TKO

UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

W · KO · R2

Yancy Medeiros

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01

W · Sub · R2

Vinc Pichel

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06

W · KO · R1

Jordan Rinaldi

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01

News & Media

Kevin Lee · Gregor Gillespie

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