UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Rosemont, USA
25 Oct 2008
Lightweight
VS
50%
Sherk
50%
Griffin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sherk
This is a genuine toss-up — Sherk at 50% vs Griffin at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Griffin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sherk's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sherk
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
52
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sherk
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
16.4
45.8
Performance Avg
42.3
32
Quality of Victory
32
65
Momentum Score
75
Sherk
Griffin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
32%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
19
6
Body
4
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
34Distance25
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Sherk
Griffin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sherk
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Sherk
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
75
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Sherk
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sherk
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
SherkGriffin
Strike Zones
Sherk
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sherk targets the head (64% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (73% of attacks) — Sherk absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sherk
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
Sherk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Sherk · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 4.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
L · Dec · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 5.5Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
W · Dec · R3
Tyson GriffinRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · KO · R3
BJ PennRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
W · Dec · R5
Hermes FrancaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06