UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fairfax, USA
11 Jan 2010
Middleweight
VS
87%
Leben
13%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CL
Chris Leben
"The Crippler"
22 – 11
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw45 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
JS
Jay Silva
10 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw6'2"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Leben

Leben is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Leben has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Leben has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Leben's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Leben
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
45
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Leben
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
2.7
50.5
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Leben
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
38%
6.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
4
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance5
5Clinch3
5Ground0
Leben
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leben
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/33 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Leben
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Leben
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leben
Silva
Striking6.9 / 0.0Volume3.1 / 0.0Grappling1.9 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Leben
Strike Zones
Silva
Leben
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leben targets the head (53% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (75% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leben
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Leben · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5L5.5W5.0W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W5.5W1.5L5.0W2.1L5.8L5.5L4.0L2005-042006-082009-082011-112013-12
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2009-092010-01
WinLossTrend

Leben · Last 5

L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

Silva · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Chris LebenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
L · Dec · R3
CB DollawayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09

News & Media

Chris Leben · Jay Silva
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