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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fairfax, USA
11 Jan 2010
Middleweight
VS
87%
Leben
13%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CL
Chris Leben
"The Crippler"
2211
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw46 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 17
JS
Jay Silva
1011
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw6'2"
CFR 3
★ Official Result
Chris LebenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jay Silva · UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leben
Actual result
Leben wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Leben is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Leben has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Risk flags

Leben's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LebenSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Leben
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
46
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Leben
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
2.7
50.5
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Leben
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.1
Style: Volume
0.0
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
4
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance5
5Clinch3
5Ground0
Leben
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leben
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
22/33 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Leben
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Leben
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Leben
Silva
Striking6.9 / 0.0Volume3.1 / 0.0Grappling1.9 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Leben
Strike Zones
Silva
Leben
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leben targets the head (53% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (75% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Leben
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Leben · Last 5

L · R1
Uriah Hall
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew Craig
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek Brunson
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark Munoz
KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei Silva
KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07

Silva · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Chris Leben
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
L · Dec · R3
CB Dollaway
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard · 2009-09

News & Media

Chris Leben · Jay Silva
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