METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Welterweight
VS
49%
Matthews
51%
Njokuani
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:09
★ Official Result
Jake MatthewswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:09
def. Chidi Njokuani · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Njokuani
→
Actual result
Matthews wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Matthews at 49% vs Njokuani at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Njokuani has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MatthewsNjokuani
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Matthews
Njokuani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+80"
32+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matthews
Njokuani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.2
56.6
48.4
Performance Avg
46.8
36
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
100
Matthews
Njokuani
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.3
Style: Volume
5.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Matthews
Njokuani
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Matthews
Njokuani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
11/37 fights
Matthews
Njokuani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Matthews
Njokuani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Njokuani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
MatthewsNjokuani
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedNjokuani
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Njokuani targets the body (60% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Njokuani
0/0R00/0
Matthews · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Carlston HarrisDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoDecision
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Njokuani · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Carlos LealDecision
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Jake MatthewsSubmission
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W · KO · R2
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W · Dec · R3
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