UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Welterweight
VS
49%
Matthews
51%
Njokuani
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:09
Jake
Jake Matthews
"The Celtic Kid"
22 – 8
5'11"73" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Chidi
Chidi Njokuani
"Bang Bang"
25 – 12
Striker2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Njokuani

This is a genuine toss-up — Matthews at 49% vs Njokuani at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Njokuani has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Njokuani has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Matthews
Njokuani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+80"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matthews
Njokuani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.4
57.8
48.3
Performance Avg
47.0
37
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
100
Matthews
Njokuani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Matthews
Njokuani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Matthews
Njokuani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/37 fights
Matthews
Njokuani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Matthews
Njokuani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Matthews
Njokuani
Striking2.0 / 7.0Volume5.0 / 4.2Grappling4.3 / 1.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.7Submission4.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Matthews
Strike Zones
Njokuani
Matthews
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Njokuani
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Njokuani targets the body (60% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Matthews
RND
Njokuani
0/0R00/0

Matthews · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.2W1.5L4.2W5.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.1L5.2W6.0L6.0W7.6L5.6W5.2W6.1W4.6L2014-062016-112020-022023-112025-09
WinLossTrend

Njokuani · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.4W4.3L5.5L2.5L4.5W5.0W5.8W2.5L6.3L2022-022023-032024-102026-02
WinLossTrend

Matthews · Last 5

Upcoming
Muslim Salikhov
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Njokuani · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Carlos LealRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Sub · R1
Jake MatthewsRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Rhys McKeeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03

News & Media

Jake Matthews · Chidi Njokuani
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