METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Welterweight
VS
49%
Matthews
51%
Njokuani
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:09
★ Official Result
Jake MatthewswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:09
def. Chidi Njokuani · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Njokuani
→
Actual result
Matthews wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Matthews at 49% vs Njokuani at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Njokuani has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Njokuani has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MatthewsNjokuani
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Matthews
Njokuani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+80"
31+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matthews
Njokuani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.4
57.8
48.3
Performance Avg
47.0
37
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
100
Matthews
Njokuani
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
2.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Matthews
Njokuani
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Matthews
Njokuani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/37 fights
Matthews
Njokuani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Matthews
Njokuani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
6
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Matthews
Njokuani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
MatthewsNjokuani
Strike Zones
Matthews
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedNjokuani
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Matthews targets the head (100% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Njokuani targets the body (60% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Matthews
RND
Njokuani
0/0R00/0
Matthews · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Njokuani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Matthews · Last 5
Upcoming
Muslim SalikhovUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Njokuani · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Carlos LealRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Sub · R1
Jake MatthewsRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Rhys McKeeRating 4.5Decision
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