UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Copenhagen, Denmark
28 Sept 2019
Middleweight
VS
27%
Chirico
73%
Muradov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AD
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
13 – 7
6'0"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Makhmud
Makhmud Muradov
26 – 8
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muradov

Muradov is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Muradov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chirico's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chirico
Muradov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chirico
Muradov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
55.1
39.3
Performance Avg
49.2
41
Quality of Victory
38
25
Momentum Score
100
Chirico
Muradov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
13
0
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
19Distance14
4Clinch5
0Ground0
Chirico
Muradov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chirico
Muradov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/34 fights
Chirico
Muradov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Chirico
Muradov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chirico
Muradov
Striking5.7 / 6.3Volume4.7 / 5.3Grappling1.2 / 1.2Wrestling0.8 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Chirico
Strike Zones
Muradov
Chirico
Attacking
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY3LEGS19 absorbed
Muradov
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY3LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD0BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chirico targets the head (100% of attacks) — Muradov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Muradov targets the head (68% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 68% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chirico
RND
Muradov
0/0R00/0

Chirico · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W6.1L6.5L5.9L6.2W3.0L5.0L2016-042017-122019-092021-082022-09
WinLossTrend

Muradov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5W5.5W3.8L6.9L4.9W2019-092019-122021-012021-082022-102023-07
WinLossTrend

Chirico · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin BuckleyRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09

Muradov · Last 5

Upcoming
Aliaskhab Khizriev
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

News & Media

Alessio Di Chirico · Makhmud Muradov
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