METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Copenhagen, Denmark
28 Sept 2019
Middleweight
VS
27%
Chirico
73%
Muradov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Makhmud MuradovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alessio Di Chirico · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Muradov
→
Actual result
Muradov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Muradov is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Muradov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Chirico's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiricoMuradov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chirico
Muradov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Chirico
Muradov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
55.1
39.3
Performance Avg
49.2
41
Quality of Victory
38
25
Momentum Score
100
Chirico
Muradov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.5
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
13
0
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
19Distance14
4Clinch5
0Ground0
Chirico
Muradov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chirico
Muradov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/34 fights
Chirico
Muradov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Chirico
Muradov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chirico
Muradov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
ChiricoMuradov
Strike Zones
Chirico
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMuradov
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chirico targets the head (100% of attacks) — Muradov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Muradov targets the head (68% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chirico
RND
Muradov
0/0R00/0
Chirico · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Muradov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Chirico · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin BuckleyRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
Muradov · Last 5
Upcoming
Aliaskhab KhizrievUFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01