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UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Philadelphia, USA
15 Aug 2026
Welterweight
VS
53%
Wells
47%
Orolbai
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:24
Jeremiah
Jeremiah Wells
134
5'9"74" reachSwitch39 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 65
Myktybek
Myktybek Orolbai
162
Well-Rounded28 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 59
★ Official Result
Jeremiah WellswinsSubmissionR3 · 1:24
def. Myktybek Orolbai · UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wells
Orolbai by unanimous decision, controlling the second and third rounds with take
Actual result
Wells wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

A 39-year-old Philadelphian gets a hometown fight against the hardest out in the division's unranked tier.

Jeremiah Wells fights out of Philadelphia. That is not a small detail on a card at the Xfinity Mobile Arena, and it is the kind of thing that pulls an extra round out of a fighter who is 39 years old and running out of them. Wells is 13-4-1 with an unusual profile: a switch-stance fighter with an 86 chin rating and a 5.43 striking score, who fights bigger than his 5'9" frame thanks to a 74-inch r…

Wells intel

Wells is 39, fighting in his home city, and sits at 13-4-1 with an 86 chin rating and 83.5 momentum. His switch-stance timing remains his best asset. He needs an early moment — the longer this goes, the more the age gap tells against a younger, deeper opponent.

Orolbai intel

Orolbai is 28, 16-2-1, and carries a 98 chin with 92.0 momentum and a 67.1 composite. He has no obvious weakness in his profile. He needs to keep the pace high and stay off the fence early, where Wells' unorthodox shots do the most damage.

Key angles

Eleven-and-a-half-year age gap in an all-action matchup

Wells fighting in his home city of Philadelphia

Orolbai's grappling advantage when the striking stalls

Identical 188cm reaches neutralising Wells' usual length edge

Wells' switch stance creating unfamiliar angles

Risk flags

Wells' unorthodox timing and 60 per cent finish rate make him a genuine early threat

Home-city crowd energy has carried older fighters through rounds they should have lost

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WellsOrolbai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Wells
Orolbai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
74"
Reach
74"
39
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Wells
Orolbai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
59.0
56.4
Performance Avg
54.2
44
Quality of Victory
43
92
Momentum Score
69
Wells
Orolbai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
6.3
4.2
Style: Volume
4.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Wells
Orolbai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wells
Orolbai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Strikes absorbed / min
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Wells
Orolbai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
69
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Wells
Orolbai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wells
Orolbai
Striking4.8 / 3.4Volume4.2 / 4.6Grappling3.5 / 4.2Wrestling2.4 / 2.9Submission3.3 / 4.0Pressure6.9 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Wells
Strike Zones
Orolbai
Wells
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Orolbai
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wells targets the head (100% of attacks) — Orolbai absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Orolbai targets the body (100% of attacks) — Wells absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wells
RND
Orolbai
0/0R00/0

Wells · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Myktybek Orolbai
Submission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Themba Gorimbo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Carlston Harris
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Matthew Semelsberger
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

Orolbai · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Jeremiah Wells
Submission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris Curtis
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Jack Hermansson
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Tofiq Musayev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz Rebecki
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10

News & Media

Jeremiah Wells · Myktybek Orolbai
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