METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
London, United Kingdom
16 Feb 2013
Featherweight
VS
84%
Ogle
16%
Grispi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andy OglewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Grispi · UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ogle
→
Actual result
Ogle wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ogle is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ogle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Ogle's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grispi has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OgleGrispi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ogle
Grispi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ogle
Grispi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
1.7
21.7
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Ogle
Grispi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.3
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
7
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Ogle
Grispi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ogle
Grispi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Ogle
Grispi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ogle
Grispi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ogle
Grispi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
OgleGrispi
Strike Zones
Ogle
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGrispi
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ogle targets the head (50% of attacks) — Grispi absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Grispi targets the body (50% of attacks) — Ogle absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ogle
RND
Grispi
0/0R00/0
Ogle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Maximo BlancoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Cole MillerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Josh GrispiDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
Grispi · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Andy OgleDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaSubmission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R3
George RoopKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01