METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
London, United Kingdom
16 Feb 2013
Featherweight
VS
84%
Ogle
16%
Grispi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Andy OglewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Grispi · UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ogle
→
Actual result
Ogle wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ogle is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ogle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Ogle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ogle's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grispi has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OgleGrispi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ogle
Grispi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ogle
Grispi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
1.7
21.7
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Ogle
Grispi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
7
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Ogle
Grispi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ogle
Grispi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Ogle
Grispi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ogle
Grispi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ogle
Grispi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
OgleGrispi
Strike Zones
Ogle
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGrispi
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ogle targets the head (50% of attacks) — Grispi absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Grispi targets the body (50% of attacks) — Ogle absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ogle
RND
Grispi
0/0R00/0
Ogle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Grispi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ogle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Maximo BlancoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Josh GrispiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
Grispi · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Andy OgleRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R3
George RoopRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8Decision
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01