UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Middleweight
VS
47%
Ridder
53%
Allen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Allen
This is a genuine toss-up — Ridder at 47% vs Allen at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Allen throws more volume but Ridder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Allen has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ridder
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
35
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ridder
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
61.8
53.5
Performance Avg
56.8
45
Quality of Victory
43
53
Momentum Score
88
Ridder
Allen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Ridder
Allen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.9
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ridder
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/25 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Ridder
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ridder
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
64%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
7
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ridder
Allen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
RidderAllen
Strike Zones
Ridder
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAllen
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ridder absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ridder
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0
Ridder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Allen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Ridder · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan AllenRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo NickalRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
Allen · Last 5
Upcoming
Edmen ShahbazyanUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

