UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Middleweight
VS
47%
Ridder
53%
Allen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 5:00
Reinier
Reinier de Ridder
"RdR"
214
6'4"78" reachSouthpaw35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Brendan
Brendan Allen
"All In"
267
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak30 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

This is a genuine toss-up — Ridder at 47% vs Allen at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Allen throws more volume but Ridder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Allen has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ridder
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
75"
35
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ridder
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
61.8
53.5
Performance Avg
56.8
45
Quality of Victory
43
53
Momentum Score
88
Ridder
Allen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.3
53%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Ridder
Allen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.9
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ridder
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
12 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
6/25 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Ridder
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ridder
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
64%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
7
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ridder
Allen
Striking3.8 / 3.0Volume3.3 / 4.4Grappling4.6 / 4.9Wrestling3.2 / 3.4Submission5.0 / 5.0Pressure7.3 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.9
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Ridder
Strike Zones
Allen
Ridder
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Allen
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ridder absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ridder
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0

Ridder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.6W5.6W6.9W5.4W4.7L6.9L2024-112025-012025-052025-072025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.8W5.0W5.1W3.9L5.0W5.5W3.5L5.2W5.5W5.0W6.4W6.3W6.0W5.2W6.9L6.9L5.3W6.4W2019-102021-072023-022025-022025-10
WinLossTrend

Ridder · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan AllenRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo NickalRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

Allen · Last 5

Upcoming
Edmen Shahbazyan
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R4
Reinier de RidderRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Nassourdine ImavovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09

News & Media

Reinier de Ridder · Brendan Allen
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